mg for bactrim cialis generic 10mg 2.5mg cialis online precio cytotec 800 mg 800 mg zovirax online 150 mg diflucan alcohol kamagra 100mg einnahme lasix tab 20 mg nexium 40 mg 28 tablet buy viagra online 350 lexapro generic appetite cialis 20mg 40mg mens viagra online online viagra toronto viagra 50mg price nexium 40 online order cialis 20 mg celebrex purchase online 1000 mg metformin pregnancy buy viagra fast cialis 40mg usa buy levitra edu propecia generic 1mg cialis 40 mg generic levitta 20 mg viagra generic strattera 80 mg generic viagra bali xenical 120 mg gelules took 2 cialis 20mg zoloft 300 mg daily zoloft pfizer generic buy 2.5 mg levitra cheapest levitra australia cialis generic canadian prescription viagra online wellbutrin online canada metformin meda 500mg 5 mg prednisone dog clomid success 25mg buy hormone clomid lexapro not generic buy viagra reviews prednisone dogs order dep levitra 10 mg amoxil 500 mg generic 7 mg prednisone lasix 10 mg price prednisone 75mg lowest propecia 1 mg cheapest zoloft online generika cialis 40 mg pharmacy cialis online cheap viagra a amoxil 500 mg online erythromycin 500mg indications metformin 250 mg pcos viagra generico laboratorio nexium 10 mg otc cialis 3000 mg augmentin bustine 125 mg cialis 5mg andorre cialis reviews generic generic lexapro appearance generic viagra.nz unprescribed clomid online levitra cheapest online buy doxycycline ireland bactrim buy online augmentin 1000 mg emziren generic lexapro constipation celebrex 200mg coupons spray cialis buy clomid buy nhs cialis professional 10 mg cheapest kamagra paypal cialis meds online order viagra professional viagra 200mg india taiwan generic viagra synthroid mood disorders cheap viagra express lisinopril 10mg 1000tab generic cialis reports zoloft 150 mgs doxycycline online europe cheap cialis bangkok cytotec pour img prednisone 5mg buy cipro 750mg viagra online med kamagra 100 mg contrareembolso viagra jelly online cheapest nolvadex online viagra 25 mgs buy lisinopril 5 mg bactrim 400 mg suspension phenergan dosage 50 mg doxycycline 200 mg used generic cialis clips green viagra 3800 mg buy kamagra perth buy doxycycline cream buy cialis jamaica cialis dosis 40mg viagra online craigslist ordering zithromax online 20 mg prednisone withdrawal levitra online croatia lisinopril 10 mg oval lasix 20 mg uses hydrochlorothiazide tb 25 mg cialis vanzare online colombian viagra generic doxycycline 100mg indian cheap lexapro order buy nolvadex 10 mg buy clomid eu cipro 1000 mg kullananlar buy fast propecia doxycycline 50 mg order viagra 100 mg mylan metformin 1000 mg celebrex 100mg capsules generico viagra efeitos info celebrex 200 mg jual levitra 10mg is 40mg cialis lisinopril tablets 20 mg bactrim nome generico clomid generic form lexapro 20 mg generico cialis 800 mg indications genuine 5mg cialis viagra online legal metformin axcount 500 mg cheap viagra meds zoloft online buy lisinopril 20 mg vidal cialis 20 mg boite doxycycline 100 mg bula augmentin 625 mg beipackzettel 420 mg prednisone withdrawal zithromax review 250 mg doxycycline hyclate 200 mg buy zithromax pfizer brand levitra,online cialis 5mg x28 cipro generic alternative co lisinopril 20 mg kamagra de 100mg diflucan order canada lisinopril 40 mg tabl cialis buy generic buy kamagra 100mg clomid buy mexico Order Levitra pill cialis apcalis 5mg strattera 18 mg cena cheapest 150mg. viagra 800 mg prednisone cialis online order levitra generic walgreens lexapro 30 mgs nolvadex 40mg day lasix 25mg italia buy propecia asia viagra going generic levitra line order reductil order xenical lasix 500 mg prijs prednisone eating disorder 200 generic cialis softtabs uk kamagra online levitra order online posologie clomid 50mg sildenafil 100mg viagra clomid online buy generic equivalent viagra glucophage xr generico viagra online effective 10mg cialis reviews cialis soft 50 mg viagra generic australia kegunaan zithromax 500 mg augmentin 625 mg administrare metformin er 750mg zoloft compresse 25 mg wellbutrin vs generics buy levitra 120 pills lasix 20 mg canine efeitos viagra 100mg cipro ip online buy propecia prescription tadalafil cialis 20 mg generic viagra artciles vega generic viagra viagra jet buy cipla cialis generic generic viagra amsterdam viagra instructions 100mg cialis philippines online china viagra 3000mg prednisone online price xenical 84 cap 120mg buy strattera 60 mg buy nexium 20 mg doxycycline 60 mg usa viagra 1000mg buy zithromax iv synthroid dosage 100 mg generic ambien viagra cialis 10mguk farmacie online augmentin cheap cialis sales canadan viagra 150 mg metformin 500mg bloating viagra generic names nexium generic usa 10 mg prednisone withdrawal cialis 10mg tabs cialis tadalafil 25 mg 10mg of kamagra valtrex generic discount levitra 10mg dose kamagra 100 mg fiyat amoxil 1mg tablets nexium buy australia cheap wellbutrin xl prednisone 10mg pack lexapro 20mg price drug generic wellbutrin generic priligy 30 mg lexapro cheap prescription synthroid 0.125mg xenical 120 mg testberichte kamagra 160 mg gold generic lexapro coupon valtrex buy online priligy originale online tadalafila cialis 5 mg diflucan generic treatment buy buspar online strattera 18mg ndc thuoc nexium 500mg cialis online china nexium sobres 20 mg buy strattera australia cialis generico sildenafil stopping 10mg prednisone assunzione cialis 20 mg lisinopril 10 mg watson pret celebrex 200 mg zovirax online consultation clomid online apotheek medicament zoloft 50 mg zithromax 3 pack buy nexium 7 colombia online kamagra sildenafil 100mg lexapro 10mg r zoloft at 150 mg lexapro 10 mg generico clomid 200mg pregnancy hsa viagra online buy prednisone 2.5mg clomid 150mg ovulation walmart levitra 20mg precio cialis 5 mg zoloft 0.25 mg cialis strengths 10mg xenical cheap price nexium 40 mg costo 5mg prednisone dosage propecia finasteride buy cialis 5 mg pack qualitest prednisone 5mg viagra bangalore buy buying wellbutrin xl cipro 750 mg price hydrochlorothiazide generic name pcos clomid 100mg kamagra 100mg bijwerkingen cialis 20mg split comprar viagra genericos phenergan 25 mg tablets medicinale generico cialis cialis lilly 20mgwomwn viagra cheap 20mg generic lexapro tingling cialis 20 mg buy cialis generico affidabile cialis tadalafil 80mg lisinopril 10mg online valtrex generic acyclovir cheap prednisone 10mg 40 mg buspar free 20mg cialis pct clomid buy lexapro withdrawal 20 mg levitra 20 mg cheap buy clomid prescription wellbutrin generic forms nexium 40 mg diarrhea lisinopril 20 mg rx 534 synthroid pills online levitra originale 10 mg kamagra online paypal 20 buy viagra.nl buy 1oomg clomid 40 mg lasix furosemide augmentin 500 mg prospect dosage viagra 100mg kamagra 25mg online diflucan de 150 mg nexium 40 mg benefits prednisone stopping 20mg 500mg glucophage xr cheapest lexapro online generic viagra description 20mg prednisone pregnancy phenergan to buy doxycycline hyclate 500mg lexapro generic tricare clomid nolvadex online lexapro 20 mg drops levitra 10mg ebay buy strattera adhd buy 1 mg zithromax buying cheap viagra buy valtrex australia 50 mg clomid 3 7 cialis 40 mg .de buy viagra near 90001 cialis online best viagra order it cheap viagra expensive cheap cialis 20mg propecia buy generic bactrim 40 mg 200 mg metformin 500 mg pregnancy generic wellbutrin recall 2012 xenical online sale viagra 100mg costco starting 100mg clomid levitra 5 mg costo prednisone 200 mg generika cialis 5 mg cheap cialis pro viagra generico bom medicamento lisinopril 20 mg diflucan 150 mg nebenwirkungen online viagra kopen generic zoloft citalopram about cialis online viagra 100 mg palsu phenergan 25 mg drowsiness viagra online gift cialis generico caracteristicas clomid nolvadex buy prednisone 20 mg steroid buy kamagra forum lisinopril 20 mg ivax online viagra fake propecia generico 1 mg generic lexapro effectiveness metformin arcana 850 mg doxycycline 100 mg dosering buying metformin canada canadian propecia cheap buy diflucan xenical 120 mg costo amoxil tablets 250mg viagra 50 mg bijsluiter viagra sample generic viagra buy viagra wellbutrin 300 mg bula 20 mg prednisone nolvadex tamoxifen 10 mg cialis 40 mg why augmentin generic walgreens buy zithromax antibiotic order priligy dapoxetine nexium 40 mg bijsluiter us generic levitra generic viagra s ordering vaginal viagra zithromax suspension 250 mg lexapro tab 20mg propecia 1mg order kamagra jelly 150 mg buy zithromax 500 mg cialis online prednisone 60mg sidefects buying 5mg propecia generic lexapro costs kamagra gold 100 mg wellbutrin generic walmart buy viagra taipei medicamento lasix 20 mg viagra online inghilterra find generic celebrex bactrim 800 mg 160 mg clomid 50mg cost 50mg de kamagra xenical 120 mg comprar clomid hapi 50 mg soft kamagra online generic priligy dapoxetine doxycycline buying online ic lisinopril 5mg order lexapro drug viagra 100 mg lasts prednisone 30 mg online erythromycin online bestellen clomid buy generic clomid 75mg wellbutrin generico mexico tabletten celebrex 200mg generic levitra 20mg generico de amoxil omeprazole 20 mg nexium cialis 5 mg recreational is doxycycline generic lexapro 10mg online manfaat clomid 50mg 400 mg doxycycline lyme buy viagra walgreens starting 100mg zoloft cialis online romania everyday cialis generic buying equine lasix order cialis tablets order lexapro discount augmentin bustine 400 mg cialis 5 mg citalopram synthroid tabs generic 6generic propecia effective zoloft 175 mg phenergan 25mg boots ic propranolol 60 mg overdose metformin 500 mg augmentin 625 mg anwendungsgebiete viagra 100mg usage zoloft what mg doxycycline 20mg brands kamagra 100mg discount doxycycline 100mg mrsa buy viagra pfitzer lexapro buy uk cheapest super kamagra generic viagra dose to buy periactin celebrex 200 mg hartkapseln generic viagra 50 viagra pesni online cialis 40mg day buy lasix online 20 mg cialis online propecia generic 4rx 40 mg lisinopril reviews gebrauchsinformation viagra 100mg kamagra 100mg pills cipro generic dose cipro 250 mg uses Online Levitra 20 mg 200 mg zoloft anxiety lisinopril 2.5 mg dose viagra 100mg phiser buy clomid 100mg buy clomid london taking 300 mg zoloft viagra pro cheap buy viagra zurich buy viagra malta buying single viagra discount cheapest cialis prednisone 10mg day 15 mg of buspar vende cialis 5 mg split 20 mg cialis online patika viagra kamagra online cheap cialis originale 10 mg cialis 20 mg exp 042014 buy viagra plus generic dapoxetine buy glucophage 850 mg forum pfizer diflucan 200mg lisinopril 20 mg cmax viagra 100 mg sildenafil cialis 40 mg generic levitrabuy levitra viagra generic walmart buy propecia pharmacy order viagra free viagra london cheap buying dapoxetine hydrochloride lasix 40 mg contraindicaciones cipro 500 mg generic discount cialis 40mg levitra 20 mg price
Home All Articles Rating the '07 HOF Candidates Based on Win Shares

Like Shoot to Thrill - An AC/DC Tribute on Facebook!

An authentic tribute of AC/DC that covers the best of the Bon Scott era and the best of Brian Johnson's material

Who's Online?

We have 686 guests online

Atom RSS

Rating the '07 HOF Candidates Based on Win Shares PDF Print E-mail
User Rating: / 2
PoorBest 
Articles & Opinion
Written by Bill Gilbert   
Monday, 04 December 2006 17:35
ArticleOne of the first items of business in baseball each year is the announcement of players elected to the Hall of Fame. This leads to lots of speculation and a little analysis prior to the announcement which is scheduled for January 9, 2007.  

Many systems exist for evaluating player performance. One such system, the Win Shares method, developed by Bill James in 2002, is a complex method for evaluating players which includes all aspects of performance—offense, defense and pitching. James has stated that, “Historically, 400 Win Shares means absolute enshrinement in the Hall of Fame and 300 Win Shares makes a player more likely than not to be a Hall of Famer. However, future standards may be different. Players with 300-350 Win Shares in the past have generally gone into the Hall of Fame. In the future, they more often will not."

The 2007 class of Hall of Fame candidates is the strongest in several years. It consists of 15 holdovers and 16 players eligible for the first time. Four holdovers have over 300 Win Shares, Andre Dawson with 340, Bert Blyleven, 339; Dave Parker, 327; and Alan Trammell with 318. Four newcomers on the list have over 300 Win Shares; Cal Ripken, Jr., 427; Tony Gwynn, 398; Mark McGwire, 342; and Harold Baines, 307. One of the newcomers last year, Will Clark, had 331 Win Shares but failed to receive the 5% of votes required to remain on the ballot.  The only 2006 newcomers with enough votes to remain on the ballot were Orel Hershiser (11.2%) and Albert Belle (7.7%).

With the weak incoming class last year, all but one of the 15 holdovers gained votes. The only one that didn’t was Willie McGee who lost 14 votes and dropped below 5%, eliminating him from further consideration by the Baseball Writers. The big gainers were Bert Blyleven (66 votes), Bruce Sutter (56 votes) and Goose Gossage (51 votes).  Sutter’s total of 400 votes (76.9%) was enough for election to the Hall. Jim Rice (64.8%, Gossage (64.6%), Andre Dawson (61.0%) and Blyleven (53.3%) are now within striking range of the 75% required for election but with the incoming  class being so strong, they  will probably not gain enough votes to make it this year.  They will have a much better chance next year with a very weak class becoming eligible.

In the 2007 class, Ripken and Gwynn are certain to be elected on the first ballot. McGwire has the numbers to be elected but is tainted with the steroid cloud and many writers have indicated they will not vote for him. He may make it eventually but not this year. The only other newcomer that is likely to receive significant support is Baines but he is not a serious candidate for election since he was not a dominant player and was primarily a designated hitter for much of his career. Jose Canseco has the numbers that would ordinarily make him at least a marginal candidate but his sordid past may prevent him from getting enough votes (5%) to stay on the ballot.

Following is a list of Win Shares for the 32 players on the ballot. Players on the ballot for the first time are shown in bold.  2005 and 2006 voting is shown for the holdovers.

                    Win     2005      2005       2006     2006
Player            Shares    Votes     Percent    Votes    Percent
-------           --------  -------   --------   -------  -------
Cal Ripken, Jr.     427    
Tony Gwynn          398
Mark McGwire        342
Andre Dawson        340     273       52.3       317      61.0
Bert Blyleven       339     211       40.9       277      53.3
Dave Parker         327      65       12.6        76      14.4
Alan Trammel        318      87       16.9        92      17.7
Harold Baines       307        
Dale Murphy         294      54       10.5        56      10.8
Tommy John          289     123       23.8       154      29.6
Jim Rice            282     307       59.5       337      64.8
Tony Fernandez      280
Steve Garvey        279     106       20.5       135      26.0
Jose Canseco        272
Dave Concepcion     269      55       10.7        65      12.5
Bobby Bonilla       267
Don Mattingly       263      59       11.4        64      12.3
Paul O’Neill        259
Wally Joiner        253
Albert Belle        243                           40       7.7
Ken Caminiti        242
Jack Morris         225     172       33.3       214      41.2
Eric Davis          224
Goose Gossage       223     285       55.2       336      64.6
Orel Hershiser      210                           58      11.2
Devon White         207
Lee Smith           198     200       38.8       234      45.0
Bret Saberhagen     193
Jay Buhner          174
Dante Bichette      168
Scott Brosius       111
Bobby Witt          102

The last 10 players elected by the Baseball Writers have averaged 342 Win Shares, a figure exceeded by only Ripken and Gwynn on the ballot this year.

Player                 Year        Win Shares
---------------        -----      -------------   
Dave Winfield          2001           415
Kirby Puckett          2001           281
Ozzie Smith            2002           325
Gary Carter            2003           337
Eddie Murray           2003           437
Paul Molitor           2004           414
Dennis Eckersley       2004           301
Wade Boggs             2005           394
Ryne Sandberg          2005           346
Bruce Sutter           2006           168
                                     ------
Average                               342

Conclusions: 

1. Cal Ripken, Jr. and Tony Gwynn will easily be elected by the Baseball Writers this year.  Some have speculated that Ripken might set the record for the highest percentage of votes, now held by Tom Seaver with 98.84%. His .340 career on-base percentage could be an obstacle to voters that place special emphasis on first ballot election.

2. Mark McGwire will not come close but will remain on the ballot and could get elected in the future.  If he is not elected, he will be the only eligible player with over 500 home runs not in the Hall.

3. None of the holdovers will receive enough votes for election.

4. Blyleven and Gossage will continue to move up but will fall short.  They could be positioned for election next year when Tim Raines is the only strong new candidate.

5. Rice will continue to fall short because of his relatively short career.

6. Some other newcomers (Baines, Bonilla, O’Neill) could get enough votes to remain on the ballot.  However, a stronger candidate last year, Will Clark, did not get enough votes to remain on the ballot.

7. There will not be a groundswell of support for Scott Brosius and Bobby Witt.

If I had a ballot, I would cast votes for Ripken, Gwynn, Blyleven, Trammell and Gossage.  If I were on the Veterans Committee, I would vote for Gil Hodges, Ron Santo and Minnie Minoso and I would try to figure out some way to get Buck O’Neil in.  

 
 
Banner

Poll

Should MLB Force Jeffery Loria to Sell the Marlins?